Saturday, August 10, 2013

Has Fredi Gonzalez Changed the Course of the Pennant Race with One Move?


Has Fredi Gonzalez Changed the Course of the Pennant Race with One Move?



The Atlanta Braves started off the 2013 season on a torrid pace and despite playing only .500 ball until recently have never been in danger. The rest of the NL East is so bad that a mediocre Atlanta team has run roughshod over the division. One of the main reasons for their tremendous start was the start of Justin Upton. He tore through the league for the first 20 games or so and Atlanta was looking like the best team in the game bar none. Upton began to cool down and Atlanta’s reliance on the long ball came to the forefront. If they weren’t hitting home runs, they weren’t winning, but again, none of that mattered because the division was so bad.

Over in the NL Central, the Cardinals, Pirates, and Reds emerged as the cream of the crop and were in a three way dog fight for supremacy. A funny thing happened though on the way to a Pittsburgh or St. Louis pennant celebration. The Atlanta Braves got hot once more. Justin Upton has been blue flame Bunsen Burner hot, and as he goes so do the Braves, but something else has helped turn them around, and the embattled Fredi Gonzalez deserves all the credit.

The Atlanta Braves do two things extremely well; they pitch and they play defense (despite having Dan Uggla with a glove out in the field). Starter, bullpen, or closer, it doesn’t matter, the Braves have guys who can continuously get the job done. Julio Teheran has been a revelation for this team, an under the radar arm just as good as the Harvey’s, Fernandez’s, and Locke’s. In a big game he should be the man to get the ball and have the chance to lead the Braves to victory. Craig Kimbrel has already put to bed the debate of best closer once Mariano retires and is as sure of a thing in baseball than anyone else.

There are some things the Braves weren’t doing too well also. First and foremost was their reliance on the long ball as mentioned above. Like the Yankees before them, they were a great team who lived and died by the home run. Lately however, that has changed. They have been getting clutch hits and hitting balls into the gap with regularity. Another Achilles heel of the team was the lack of production from the leadoff spot. For as great of a team as they were and could be, they had no one who could leadoff. This is where Gonzalez and the smartest decision he’s ever made come into play.

Fourteen games ago, Fredi decided to bat Jason Heyward leadoff. Heyward isn’t prototypically a guy you would think of as a leadoff hitter but he can handle the bat and get on base. He won’t set the base paths on fire with his speed but he’s more than capable of stealing a base here and there. Since making Heyward the leadoff hitter, all the Braves have done is win 14 games in a row and show no signs of slowing down with two more games against the Marlins to finish off the weekend set. Having Heyward, Upton, and Freeman (who has undoubtedly taken over for Chipper Jones as the face, heart, and soul of the Braves) as your top three hitters is just unfair. Add in the fact that hitting behind them is Chris Johnson, who could very well go on to win the batting title, and things are looking rosy in the peach state. Other managers and pitchers have to be so selective and overthink strategy that they are bound to make mistakes and these guys will make them pay.

Fredi Gonzalez gets criticized for many things, and deservedly so, but this decision very well could’ve locked up a World Series victory for the Braves. Barring any kind of injury and the dependence on the long ball fading, Atlanta is without a doubt the most complete team in the league. Come October the streets of Badstreet, USA will be filled with tomahawk chopping and baseball clobbering, and Hotlanta will make everyone forget about cold weather.

Thursday, August 8, 2013

The NL MVP Vote Will Be the Most Exciting Race Down the Stretch


The NL MVP Vote Will Be the Most Exciting Race Down the Stretch



As we wind down the 2013 Major League Baseball season in the National League, there’s one word that comes to mind, and that word is boredom. All playoff spots have pretty much been decided, barring a total collapse or a run from a team that hasn’t shown any capability to do so. There are about 45-50 games left give or take, so what exactly is there to get excited about? The answer is the NL MVP. There isn’t a single player who has played to a level where they’ve locked up the award, but there are two frontrunners and two dark horses who could come away with the hardware.

The two frontrunners for the award are Yadier Molina of the St. Louis Cardinals and Clayton Kershaw of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Molina, who is second in the league in batting average, was having a career year for the Cardinals before a trip to the disabled list. He isn’t a home run threat or huge run producer, especially in that lineup, but the intangibles are where Molina exceeds over all others. He is without a doubt the best defensive catcher in the league and calls a game like no other behind the plate. He is the heart and soul of a Cardinals team that was tearing through the league until a recent slump has brought them back to Earth. The trip to the disabled list will hurt Molina’s chances some, especially because his numbers are not out of this world and it comes at an inopportune time in the season, but his contributions cannot be discounted.

The one guy who benefits from Molina’s ailments and has catapulted himself into the discussion is Clayton Kershaw. Some may say, how can a guy with 10 wins be the MVP but his numbers are so much more than that. The 10 wins are through no fault of his own, his team cannot score runs for him, but the rest of his numbers are better than last year when he won the pitching Triple Crown and he has solidified himself as the best pitcher on the planet. There is no one even close to him, so all the Matt Harvey and King Felix fans need to take a seat. Kershaw ranks second in innings pitched and strikeouts. He is first in WAR (Wins Above Replacement) with a staggering 6.0 and has an unheard of ERA of 1.91. Only having 10 wins with an ERA under 2 is a clear sign of his offense’s inefficiency. Winning the Cy Young will hurt his chances some in winning MVP but just like Verlander before him, dominating pitching stats when no hitter is dominant can lead to the double prize.

The two dark horses in the race are Russell Martin of the Pittsburgh Pirates and Paul Goldschmidt of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Both will most likely not get serious consideration, for different reasons, but at the same time need to be praised for what they are doing. Martin can be considered a candidate for all the same reasons as Molina, but given that Molina is having a better season it pretty much cancels him out. What Martin has going for him is the fact that Pittsburgh is on its way to their first winning season and playoff appearance in 20 years. Martin’s impact on the pitching staff of young guns and thought to be washed up talent cannot be discounted. Neither can his veteran leadership in a clubhouse of guys who don’t know what it’s like to win. Also, Martin has four walk off hits this season, including one this afternoon against the Marlins. Seeing what he’s doing makes this Yankee fan miss him terribly, especially given our catching deficiency. Goldschmidt is having the MVP type season you expect from the winner, with 26 home runs and 90 RBI, ranking him second and first respectively in the league. He is one of the best up and coming power hitters in baseball and will certainly be in the running for the award a few more times in his career but he will be hurt by Arizona not making the playoffs. The voters tend to shy away from guys whose teams do not make the dance, unless their numbers are so earth shattering they have no choice, which Goldschmidt’s numbers aren’t, at least until this point.

My personal take on the whole thing is that Kershaw will walk away with the double hardware, unless Arizona makes a run to overtake the Dodgers. If that were to happen then Goldschmidt absolutely deserves the award. A lot can happen in 50 games, but other than the run by the Dodgers, have we really seen any indication things will be different at the end of the year than they are now? Either way, let’s sit back and enjoy the final leg of the season and how everything unfolds.